Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 966.342496 1098.497573 1247.136655 1427.679785 1642.354614 1891.080056 2203.432917
2025-04-27 771.140021 942.602208 1154.309308 1438.891645 1817.593369 2313.256209 3026.583017
2025-05-04 675.351899 863.142170 1108.916935 1461.650170 1967.800365 2689.049720 3835.758533
2025-05-11 604.704730 800.616907 1069.274654 1476.141468 2098.280463 3052.782234 4713.089401
2025-05-18 563.001673 769.021362 1063.564222 1532.029346 2292.115432 3543.870072 5924.646950
2025-05-25 522.010754 731.910129 1042.762709 1558.465530 2439.971217 3987.474334 7186.497125
2025-06-01 482.094007 691.024427 1009.861139 1558.447827 2540.206687 4365.826240 8443.677986
2025-06-08 447.005866 653.321951 976.666194 1551.570190 2624.570812 4730.143550 9797.340153
2025-06-15 424.596514 632.851609 968.164797 1584.786342 2787.229871 5286.035193 11812.643317
2025-06-22 389.864499 589.215601 916.430826 1532.968690 2774.440056 5466.990885 12955.125683
2025-06-29 360.706753 552.209967 872.224253 1489.118445 2769.748919 5664.181591 14228.946639
2025-07-06 333.761518 516.749759 827.388779 1438.456530 2742.124035 5801.267020 15391.467892
2025-07-13 323.429452 509.421881 832.864848 1489.351120 2951.156226 6592.934845 19145.286327
2025-07-20 308.670236 493.320199 821.114846 1504.687154 3085.067154 7239.239575 22875.192266
2025-07-27 296.430488 480.521508 813.968038 1528.151021 3242.553738 8002.779966 27666.795903
2025-08-03 284.291855 466.877348 803.792423 1543.583775 3383.626298 8769.540889 33182.501384
2025-08-10 278.048093 463.447440 812.912152 1602.698693 3650.765080 10037.704373 42547.411722
2025-08-17 268.865671 453.775424 808.651643 1630.684391 3840.941883 11132.221390 52448.745320
2025-08-24 257.603914 439.315537 793.347928 1630.665078 3952.738036 11997.382030 62234.113075
2025-08-31 246.544185 424.471137 775.954276 1623.384593 4042.442603 12822.863086 73170.000856
2025-09-07 240.084054 418.120870 775.762893 1658.551162 4270.294436 14323.979159 92701.061183
2025-09-14 226.419308 396.668172 741.648667 1603.695648 4202.623498 14527.255120 100858.945728
2025-09-21 214.429736 377.893869 712.017083 1557.295899 4154.790259 14812.286589 110745.616801